European visitor volume to grow by 5 to 6% for Asia Pacific: PATA

The impact of European arrivals varies greatly across the destinations within the Asia Pacific region

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Visitors from Europe are a substantial component of the Asia Pacific arrivals count, generating 34.5-million visits in 2009; some 9.5% of the international inbound volume to the region for that year.
 
While the relative share of arrivals from Europe is forecast to drop to around 9.1% of the total inbound volume by 2013, the actual numeric count will rise to more than 44-million arrivals from a base of 35.5-million in 2009, averaging annual growth of between five-to-six per cent over that period. The impact of European arrivals varies greatly across the sub-regions and destinations within the Asia Pacific region however, as can be seen by the actual and expected relative shares in 2009 and 2013 respectively.
 
Exhibit 1: Arrivals from Europe to Asia Pacific destinations 2009 (actual) and 2013 (forecast), as a percentage of Total Foreign Arrivals.

Relative Share (%)

Destination sub-region

2009

2013f

North America

15.4

14.6

South Asia

38.0

35.2

Northeast Asia

4.1

4.3

Southeast Asia

12.9

12.0

Pacific

20.0

17.8

Total

9.5

9.1

In a number of cases at the destination level, this is more pronounced where European arrivals can account for a very significant proportion of foreign arrivals.
 
Exhibit 2: Arrivals from Europe to Asia Pacific destinations (Top 10), 2009 (actual) & 2013 (forecast), as a percentage of Total Foreign Arrivals.

% of Total Foreign Arrivals

Destination

2009

2013f

Maldives

70.3

55.7

Tahiti

45.4

48.7

Sri Lanka

43.9

43.5

Pakistan

43.4

36.5

Bhutan

39.2

35.1

India

33.1

30.9

New Caledonia

31.8

22.6

Mongolia

31.6

32.3

Nepal

28.9

27.2

Thailand

28.7

26.8

Of the almost 500 individual origin-destination pairs from Europe to Asia Pacific destinations, more than a quarter (26.8%) are forecast to grow at an average annual rate in excess of 10% between 2009 and 2013.

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