Visitors from Europe are a substantial component of the Asia Pacific arrivals count, generating 34.5-million visits in 2009; some 9.5% of the international inbound volume to the region for that year.
While the relative share of arrivals from Europe is forecast to drop to around 9.1% of the total inbound volume by 2013, the actual numeric count will rise to more than 44-million arrivals from a base of 35.5-million in 2009, averaging annual growth of between five-to-six per cent over that period. The impact of European arrivals varies greatly across the sub-regions and destinations within the Asia Pacific region however, as can be seen by the actual and expected relative shares in 2009 and 2013 respectively.
Exhibit 1: Arrivals from Europe to Asia Pacific destinations 2009 (actual) and 2013 (forecast), as a percentage of Total Foreign Arrivals.
Relative Share (%) |
||
Destination sub-region |
2009 |
2013f |
North America |
15.4 |
14.6 |
South Asia |
38.0 |
35.2 |
Northeast Asia |
4.1 |
4.3 |
Southeast Asia |
12.9 |
12.0 |
Pacific |
20.0 |
17.8 |
Total |
9.5 |
9.1 |
In a number of cases at the destination level, this is more pronounced where European arrivals can account for a very significant proportion of foreign arrivals.
Exhibit 2: Arrivals from Europe to Asia Pacific destinations (Top 10), 2009 (actual) & 2013 (forecast), as a percentage of Total Foreign Arrivals.
% of Total Foreign Arrivals |
||
Destination |
2009 |
2013f |
Maldives |
70.3 |
55.7 |
Tahiti |
45.4 |
48.7 |
Sri Lanka |
43.9 |
43.5 |
Pakistan |
43.4 |
36.5 |
Bhutan |
39.2 |
35.1 |
India |
33.1 |
30.9 |
New Caledonia |
31.8 |
22.6 |
Mongolia |
31.6 |
32.3 |
Nepal |
28.9 |
27.2 |
Thailand |
28.7 |
26.8 |
Of the almost 500 individual origin-destination pairs from Europe to Asia Pacific destinations, more than a quarter (26.8%) are forecast to grow at an average annual rate in excess of 10% between 2009 and 2013.
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